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    What To Expect At The Royal Rumble 2014 Part 2: How Did Our Predictions Do?

    By John Hancock
    | January 27, 2014
    WWE Blogs

    In a previous article, we tried to use statistics from former Royal Rumbles to try and predict this year’s event. Whilst maths alone couldn’t possibly have predicted we’d get one of the most entertaining, exciting and mood-capturing “fans vs. management” car crashes in recent memory, we did get a few things right… and a few things wrong.

    Wwe Batista

    Who Will Win?

    Our Prediction: Number Twenty-Nine

    Reality: Number Twenty-Eight

    We said this would be the easiest to predict, and we were… wrong. So close, but yet so far, Batista entered just before the usual post-F winning numbers of 29 and 30. This is only the second time number 28 has ever won the Rumble. Who was the first? Batista in 2005. Considering how well known the result was in advance, we probably should have seen that one coming.

    Who Will Come Second?

    Our Prediction: Number Thirty

    Reality: Number Fifteen

    This one was a real anomaly. We predicted, with some certainty, that the runner up would enter at number twenty or later, and we were leaning toward the higher twenties. Nothing suggested we should expect a runner up to enter in the teens.

    When Will The Surprise Entrants Turn Up?

    Our Prediction: Number Twenty-One

    Reality: Numbers Fourteen, Seventeen and Twenty Four

    We’ll be honest, this was always going to be a bit of a guess. We openly admitted there’s no real pattern to the traditional surprise returns, although we did say they tend to happen in the late teens and early twenties, which was correct for two out of the three.

    Who’s Most Likely To Die Next?

    Our Prediction: Number Eleven

    Reality: Who knows?

    Number eleven was Dean Ambrose, so I think, given his age, intelligence and health, that we can assume we were completely wrong about this one.

    Who Will Last The Longest?

    Our Prediction: Number One

    Reality: Number One

    Another easy pick, and another correct one. CM Punk is now the ninth first entrant to last the longest, a tradition that has gone unbroken since 2010.

    Wwe Cm Punk Ew3

    How Long Will They Last?

    Our Prediction: 41 Minutes

    Reality: 49 Minutes

    Close, but no cigar. As we said, this now marks the first point in WWF/E history in which a decade has contained five Rumbles, and not a single entrant has lasted over an hour. That said, Punk came extremely close to breaking the record for the 2010s, which was set last year, at 50 minutes, by Dolph Ziggler. Punk also did better than average, not only for the current decade, which has an average longest run of 38 minutes, but also for the Rumble in general, which has an average longest run of 44 minutes, so well done CM Punk.

    Who Will Last The Shortest?

    Our Prediction: Number Fifteen

    Reality: Number Twenty-Four

    We admitted this one was a bit of a punt, and we also now have to admit that we got it spectacularly wrong. Although we guestimated number fifteen, we were relatively confident of something between the tenth and twentieth entrant. For those of you who didn’t watch, or have short memories, this year’s honours went to JBL.

    How Long Will They Last?

    Our Prediction: 24 Seconds

    Reality: 21 Seconds

    Ouch, so close. JBL’s 21 second appearance is below average, in terms of the shortest lasting run, for both his decade (27 seconds) and the Rumble in general (22 seconds). Call us desperate, but I think, when we’re talking about a matter of seconds, we’re going to take a three second margin as a win.

    Our Final Score: 2 out of 8

    Better luck next year maths.

    Tags

    WWE Royal Rumblewwe royal rumble 2014

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